YEARLY HIGH
8.7046 UGX
YEARLY LOW
7.6591 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.2559 UGX

2024 KMF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the KMF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 8.7046. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 7.6591.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0456 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.4282 to the December average rate of 7.7961, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 8.7046 was up 2.27% compared to the 2023 peak of 8.5118, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 43,523 UGX
2023 Average 40,882 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 38,295 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,227.82 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

8.6746
7.7162
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.3928, compared to 8.1191 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2737 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.3928
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.1191

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was June, with a trading range of 0.3771 UGX (High: 8.4321 / Low: 8.0550). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1059 UGX (High: 8.4260 / Low: 8.3201).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.3771
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1059

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2715 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2715

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2024: 8.4909) against the same month in 2023 (average: 8.0132), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4777 (+5.96%).

2024 Avg (February) 8.4909
2023 Avg (February) 8.0132

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.5155 8.3711 8.4282
February 8.7046 8.3450 8.4909
March 8.6845 8.5084 8.5948
April 8.5080 8.1927 8.3233
May 8.4287 8.2361 8.3091
June 8.4321 8.0550 8.2105
July 8.2293 8.0669 8.1564
August 8.4335 8.1344 8.3183
September 8.4260 8.3201 8.3672
October 8.2468 8.0383 8.1303
November 8.1676 7.8180 7.9462
December 7.8882 7.6591 7.7961