YEARLY HIGH
6.5063 DJF
YEARLY LOW
5.4174 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.0594 DJF

2011 RUB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the RUB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 4, valuing the pair at 6.5063. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 4, dropping to 5.4174.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0889 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.8884 to the December average rate of 5.6545, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.97% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 6.5063 was up 5.79% compared to the 2010 peak of 6.1503, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,531 DJF
2010 Average 29,267 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 27,087 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,444.26 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

6.4434
5.5828
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.2113, compared to 5.9074 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3039 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.2113
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.9074

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.6570 DJF (High: 6.1413 / Low: 5.4844). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1474 DJF (High: 6.3115 / Low: 6.1641).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.6570
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1474

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.3653 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3653

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2011: 6.3641) against the same month in 2010 (average: 5.8524), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5116 (+8.74%).

2011 Avg (May) 6.3641
2010 Avg (May) 5.8524

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.9830 5.7587 5.8884
February 6.1816 5.9770 6.0757
March 6.3115 6.1641 6.2530
April 6.4732 6.2630 6.3325
May 6.5063 6.2162 6.3641
June 6.4326 6.2665 6.3540
July 6.4463 6.2823 6.3717
August 6.4240 5.9650 6.1657
September 6.1413 5.4844 5.8004
October 5.9588 5.4174 5.6869
November 5.8582 5.6198 5.7654
December 5.7847 5.5295 5.6545