2016 RUB to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.9528 DJF

YEARLY LOW

2.1613 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.6648 DJF

2016 RUB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RUB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 2.9528. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 2.1613.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7916 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.3230 to the December average rate of 2.8777, the exchange rate registered a net change of 23.87% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.9528 was down 18.07% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.6042, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,764 DJF

2015 Average 14,653 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 10,806 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,957.76 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.9353

2.2441

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.5441, compared to 2.7856 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2415 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.5441

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.7856

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.2731 DJF (High: 2.4343 / Low: 2.1613). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0478 DJF (High: 2.8602 / Low: 2.8124).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2731

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0478

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0795 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0795

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 2.8777) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.5376), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3400 (+13.40%).

2016 Avg (December) 2.8777

2015 Avg (December) 2.5376

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.4343	2.1613	2.3230
February	2.3569	2.2300	2.3017
March	2.6469	2.4093	2.5443
April	2.7412	2.5922	2.6690
May	2.7385	2.6464	2.6943
June	2.7871	2.6556	2.7322
July	2.8180	2.6636	2.7559
August	2.7818	2.6476	2.7343
September	2.8234	2.6983	2.7513
October	2.8602	2.8124	2.8368
November	2.8108	2.6954	2.7573
December	2.9528	2.7817	2.8777