YEARLY HIGH
2.6884 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.7551 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.1065 DJF

2023 RUB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the RUB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 15, valuing the pair at 2.6884. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 7, dropping to 1.7551.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9333 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.5420 to the December average rate of 1.9561, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.05% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 2.6884 was down 20.67% compared to the 2022 peak of 3.3889, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,442 DJF
2022 Average 13,203 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 8,775 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,666.66 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

2.6128
1.7630
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.3112, compared to 1.9017 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4095 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.3112
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.9017

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was January, with a trading range of 0.2764 DJF (High: 2.6884 / Low: 2.4120). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0718 DJF (High: 1.8771 / Low: 1.8053).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2764
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0718

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1740 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1740

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 2.5420) against the same month in 2022 (average: 2.3237), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2182 (+9.39%).

2023 Avg (January) 2.5420
2022 Avg (January) 2.3237

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.6884 2.4120 2.5420
February 2.5434 2.3394 2.4223
March 2.3707 2.2805 2.3271
April 2.2938 2.1658 2.1935
May 2.3371 2.1877 2.2474
June 2.2120 2.0020 2.1350
July 2.0115 1.9265 1.9610
August 1.9270 1.7784 1.8571
September 1.8771 1.8053 1.8404
October 1.9157 1.7551 1.8338
November 2.0174 1.9019 1.9617
December 2.0194 1.9136 1.9561