2020 RUB to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.9173 DJF

YEARLY LOW

2.1991 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.4750 DJF

2020 RUB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the RUB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 2.9173. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 18, dropping to 2.1991.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7182 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.8773 to the December average rate of 2.4066, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 2.9173 was up 1.36% compared to the 2019 peak of 2.8781, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,586 DJF

2019 Average 13,758 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 10,995 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,591.12 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

2.9355

2.2370

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.5734, compared to 2.3767 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1966 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.5734

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.3767

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.4892 DJF (High: 2.6882 / Low: 2.1991). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0900 DJF (High: 2.4433 / Low: 2.3534).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.4892

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0900

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.3774 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3774

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 2.8773) against the same month in 2019 (average: 2.6542), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2231 (+8.41%).

2020 Avg (January) 2.8773

2019 Avg (January) 2.6542

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.9173	2.7823	2.8773
February	2.8314	2.6673	2.7742
March	2.6882	2.1991	2.3968
April	2.4370	2.2617	2.3762
May	2.5374	2.3595	2.4470
June	2.6128	2.5011	2.5687
July	2.5257	2.3935	2.4897
August	2.4433	2.3534	2.4102
September	2.4180	2.2479	2.3415
October	2.3366	2.2432	2.2952
November	2.3594	2.2094	2.3172
December	2.4372	2.3431	2.4066