YEARLY HIGH
5.9485 DJF
YEARLY LOW
5.3181 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.5791 DJF

2013 RUB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the RUB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 5.9485. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 3, dropping to 5.3181.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6304 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.8692 to the December average rate of 5.4202, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 5.9485 was down 3.86% compared to the 2012 peak of 6.1873, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,742 DJF
2012 Average 28,731 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 26,591 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,151.93 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

5.9285
5.3311
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.7192, compared to 5.4390 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2803 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.7192
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.4390

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was September, with a trading range of 0.2780 DJF (High: 5.5961 / Low: 5.3181). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0764 DJF (High: 5.9046 / Low: 5.8282).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.2780
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0764

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1718 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1718

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 5.8787) against the same month in 2012 (average: 5.9820), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1033 (-1.73%).

2013 Avg (February) 5.8787
2012 Avg (February) 5.9820

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.9046 5.8282 5.8692
February 5.9485 5.7897 5.8787
March 5.8021 5.7107 5.7555
April 5.7476 5.5977 5.6533
May 5.7229 5.5821 5.6652
June 5.5940 5.3883 5.4934
July 5.5035 5.3191 5.4222
August 5.4090 5.3325 5.3809
September 5.5961 5.3181 5.4563
October 5.5857 5.4750 5.5288
November 5.4832 5.3614 5.4255
December 5.4799 5.3415 5.4202