2019 RUB to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.8781 DJF

YEARLY LOW

2.2259 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.7515 DJF

2019 RUB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RUB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 25, valuing the pair at 2.8781. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 2.2259.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6521 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.6542 to the December average rate of 2.8326, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 2.8781 was down 9.78% compared to the 2018 peak of 3.1900, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,390 DJF

2018 Average 14,217 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 11,130 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,260.72 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

2.8504

2.6363

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.7279, compared to 2.7751 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0472 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.7279

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.7751

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.4945 DJF (High: 2.7204 / Low: 2.2259). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0407 DJF (High: 2.8059 / Low: 2.7652).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4945

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0407

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1116 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1116

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 2.8326) against the same month in 2018 (average: 2.6341), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1985 (+7.53%).

2019 Avg (December) 2.8326

2018 Avg (December) 2.6341

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.7204	2.2259	2.6542
February	2.7228	2.6704	2.7063
March	2.7892	2.6810	2.7290
April	2.7945	2.7207	2.7573
May	2.7661	2.7186	2.7430
June	2.8458	2.7135	2.7773
July	2.8398	2.7886	2.8146
August	2.7677	2.6583	2.7030
September	2.7909	2.6654	2.7428
October	2.7958	2.7279	2.7691
November	2.8059	2.7652	2.7884
December	2.8781	2.7677	2.8326