YEARLY HIGH
2.1265 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.5634 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.9212 DJF

2024 RUB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the RUB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 19, valuing the pair at 2.1265. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 1.5634.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5631 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.9917 to the December average rate of 1.7151, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 2.1265 was down 20.90% compared to the 2023 peak of 2.6884, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,633 DJF
2023 Average 10,523 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 7,817 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,815.65 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

2.0685
1.6830
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.9574, compared to 1.8849 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0725 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.9574
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.8849

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was November, with a trading range of 0.2813 DJF (High: 1.8524 / Low: 1.5711). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0471 DJF (High: 1.9589 / Low: 1.9118).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2813
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0471

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1019 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1019

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2024: 2.0177) against the same month in 2023 (average: 2.1350), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1173 (-5.49%).

2024 Avg (June) 2.0177
2023 Avg (June) 2.1350

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.0272 1.9344 1.9917
February 1.9746 1.8761 1.9378
March 1.9589 1.9118 1.9353
April 1.9369 1.8878 1.9121
May 2.0141 1.8999 1.9501
June 2.1265 1.9669 2.0177
July 2.0940 1.9980 2.0364
August 2.0944 1.9333 1.9970
September 2.0297 1.8861 1.9493
October 1.8860 1.8222 1.8474
November 1.8524 1.5711 1.7644
December 1.8023 1.5634 1.7151