YEARLY HIGH
6.1873 DJF
YEARLY LOW
5.2998 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.7471 DJF

2012 RUB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the RUB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 26, valuing the pair at 6.1873. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 1, dropping to 5.2998.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8875 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.6886 to the December average rate of 5.7868, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.73% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 6.1873 was down 4.90% compared to the 2011 peak of 6.5063, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,936 DJF
2011 Average 30,296 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 26,499 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,437.48 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

6.1545
5.3738
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.8454, compared to 5.6488 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1965 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.8454
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.6488

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.7429 DJF (High: 6.1060 / Low: 5.3631). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1085 DJF (High: 6.1330 / Low: 6.0246).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.7429
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1085

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.3651 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3651

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2012: 6.0895) against the same month in 2011 (average: 6.2530), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1635 (-2.61%).

2012 Avg (March) 6.0895
2011 Avg (March) 6.2530

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.9208 5.5372 5.6886
February 6.1513 5.8863 5.9820
March 6.1873 6.0060 6.0895
April 6.1330 6.0246 6.0693
May 6.1060 5.3631 5.8039
June 5.5599 5.2998 5.4388
July 5.5812 5.3916 5.4806
August 5.6478 5.4923 5.5711
September 5.8435 5.5031 5.6716
October 5.7962 5.6605 5.7171
November 5.7729 5.5858 5.6659
December 5.8608 5.7420 5.7868