2018 RUB to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.1900 DJF

YEARLY LOW

2.5223 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.8449 DJF

2018 RUB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RUB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 25, valuing the pair at 3.1900. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 10, dropping to 2.5223.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6677 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.1540 to the December average rate of 2.6341, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.1900 was down 0.40% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.2029, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,950 DJF

2017 Average 15,336 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 12,611 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,338.51 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.2060

2.5821

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.9961, compared to 2.6937 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3024 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.9961

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.6937

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.2917 DJF (High: 3.0964 / Low: 2.8047). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0725 DJF (High: 3.1374 / Low: 3.0650).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.2917

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0725

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1855 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1855

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 3.1540) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.9850), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1690 (+5.66%).

2018 Avg (January) 3.1540

2017 Avg (January) 2.9850

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3.1900	3.0992	3.1540
February	3.1882	3.0372	3.1231
March	3.1374	3.0650	3.0992
April	3.0964	2.8047	2.9138
May	2.9104	2.7733	2.8505
June	2.8863	2.7877	2.8361
July	2.8815	2.7955	2.8317
August	2.8264	2.6093	2.6821
September	2.7154	2.5223	2.6355
October	2.7404	2.6600	2.7028
November	2.7138	2.6197	2.6758
December	2.6852	2.5581	2.6341