2015 RUB to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.6042 DJF

YEARLY LOW

2.4232 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.9300 DJF

2015 RUB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the RUB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 18, valuing the pair at 3.6042. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 2.4232.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1810 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.7817 to the December average rate of 2.5376, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.77% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 3.6042 was down 33.45% compared to the 2014 peak of 5.4160, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,021 DJF

2014 Average 23,650 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 12,116 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,904.94 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

3.5939

2.4416

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.1011, compared to 2.7588 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3424 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.1011

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.7588

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.4844 DJF (High: 3.0425 / Low: 2.5580). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1385 DJF (High: 2.7134 / Low: 2.5749).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4844

September Spread (Stable) ±0.1385

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.3786 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3786

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2015: 3.4979) against the same month in 2014 (average: 5.1250), the exchange rate shifted by -1.6271 (-31.75%).

2015 Avg (May) 3.4979

2014 Avg (May) 5.1250

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3.0425	2.5580	2.7817
February	2.9167	2.5418	2.7738
March	3.0986	2.8491	2.9569
April	3.5517	3.0762	3.3557
May	3.6042	3.3774	3.4979
June	3.3509	3.1475	3.2409
July	3.1976	2.9037	3.0979
August	2.8909	2.5186	2.7193
September	2.7134	2.5749	2.6538
October	2.8899	2.6839	2.8161
November	2.8222	2.6567	2.7281
December	2.6670	2.4232	2.5376