YEARLY HIGH
5.4160 DJF
YEARLY LOW
2.6056 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.7322 DJF

2014 RUB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the RUB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 5.4160. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 2.6056.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.8104 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.2835 to the December average rate of 3.1843, the exchange rate registered a net change of -39.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 5.4160 was down 8.95% compared to the 2013 peak of 5.9485, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,080 DJF
2013 Average 27,887 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 13,028 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,052.15 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

5.4934
2.9744
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.0983, compared to 4.3660 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7323 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.0983
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.3660

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.8882 DJF (High: 3.4938 / Low: 2.6056). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1694 DJF (High: 5.0812 / Low: 4.9118).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.8882
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1694

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.6702 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6702

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 5.2835) against the same month in 2013 (average: 5.8692), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5857 (-9.98%).

2014 Avg (January) 5.2835
2013 Avg (January) 5.8692

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.4160 5.0668 5.2835
February 5.1327 4.9330 5.0511
March 5.0671 4.8641 4.9238
April 5.0812 4.9118 5.0067
May 5.2379 4.9716 5.1250
June 5.3168 5.1024 5.1999
July 5.2779 5.0058 5.1463
August 5.0154 4.8149 4.9427
September 4.8432 4.5236 4.6995
October 4.5097 4.1337 4.3687
November 4.1468 3.5684 3.8545
December 3.4938 2.6056 3.1843