YEARLY HIGH
14.7789 DJF
YEARLY LOW
12.8880 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
14.2885 DJF

2011 SCR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the SCR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 7, valuing the pair at 14.7789. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 22, dropping to 12.8880.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8909 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.3065 to the December average rate of 13.3599, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 14.7789 was down 9.11% compared to the 2010 peak of 16.2597, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 73,895 DJF
2010 Average 73,273 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 64,440 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,454.46 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

14.6536
13.2423
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.4204, compared to 14.1567 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2637 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.4204
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.1567

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was December, with a trading range of 0.9405 DJF (High: 13.8286 / Low: 12.8880). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4005 DJF (High: 14.6480 / Low: 14.2475).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.9405
May Spread (Stable) ±0.4005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.5666 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5666

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 14.4394) against the same month in 2010 (average: 14.1135), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3259 (+2.31%).

2011 Avg (September) 14.4394
2010 Avg (September) 14.1135

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.6122 14.0775 14.3065
February 14.6732 14.2458 14.4276
March 14.6884 14.1048 14.4366
April 14.7181 14.2496 14.5141
May 14.6480 14.2475 14.3544
June 14.7337 14.2477 14.4829
July 14.7524 14.1896 14.5360
August 14.7603 14.1752 14.5024
September 14.7789 14.1893 14.4394
October 14.4044 13.8257 14.1757
November 14.1893 13.5871 13.9265
December 13.8286 12.8880 13.3599