2012 SCR to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.8394 DJF

YEARLY LOW

11.8413 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

13.0086 DJF

2012 SCR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SCR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 9, valuing the pair at 13.8394. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 23, dropping to 11.8413.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.9981 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.8486 to the December average rate of 13.5789, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.68% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 13.8394 was down 6.36% compared to the 2011 peak of 14.7789, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 69,197 DJF

2011 Average 71,434 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 59,206 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,990.44 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

13.8263

12.0980

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.6761, compared to 13.3411 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6650 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.6761

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.3411

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was August, with a trading range of 1.0668 DJF (High: 13.7131 / Low: 12.6462). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1237 DJF (High: 13.6397 / Low: 13.5160).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.0668

December Spread (Stable) ±0.1237

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.2711 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2711

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2012: 13.6823) against the same month in 2011 (average: 14.4394), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7571 (-5.24%).

2012 Avg (September) 13.6823

2011 Avg (September) 14.4394

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.3771	12.5421	12.8486
February	12.9240	12.4654	12.7351
March	13.0392	12.5075	12.6762
April	12.9698	12.4847	12.7542
May	12.9137	12.2585	12.6567
June	12.7132	12.1440	12.3857
July	12.6915	11.8413	12.2420
August	13.7131	12.6462	13.4268
September	13.8394	13.5718	13.6823
October	13.6928	13.4917	13.5717
November	13.6492	13.4607	13.5450
December	13.6397	13.5160	13.5789