2013 SCR to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

15.3083 DJF

YEARLY LOW

13.5098 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

14.7021 DJF

2013 SCR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the SCR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 25, valuing the pair at 15.3083. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 13.5098.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7984 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.6311 to the December average rate of 14.7672, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.33% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 15.3083 was up 10.61% compared to the 2012 peak of 13.8394, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 76,541 DJF

2012 Average 65,046 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 67,549 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,992.16 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

15.2789

13.4814

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.6402, compared to 14.7641 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1238 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.6402

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.7641

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.9770 DJF (High: 15.3083 / Low: 14.3313). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1520 DJF (High: 15.0465 / Low: 14.8945).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.9770

June Spread (Stable) ±0.1520

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1460 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1460

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2013: 14.9782) against the same month in 2012 (average: 12.6762), the exchange rate shifted by +2.3020 (+18.16%).

2013 Avg (March) 14.9782

2012 Avg (March) 12.6762

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.8705	13.5098	13.6311
February	14.4450	13.8848	14.0628
March	15.3083	14.3313	14.9782
April	15.2163	15.0327	15.1291
May	15.1713	14.9316	15.0626
June	15.0465	14.8945	14.9774
July	14.9977	14.6868	14.8314
August	14.8708	14.7097	14.7982
September	14.8596	14.6334	14.7627
October	14.7835	14.5452	14.7029
November	14.8061	14.5386	14.7219
December	14.8690	14.6495	14.7672