2015 SCR to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

14.6394 DJF

YEARLY LOW

12.5248 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

13.3559 DJF

2015 SCR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the SCR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 4, valuing the pair at 14.6394. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 5, dropping to 12.5248.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.1146 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.7873 to the December average rate of 13.9124, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 14.6394 was down 2.35% compared to the 2014 peak of 14.9913, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 73,197 DJF

2014 Average 70,384 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 62,624 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,573.11 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

14.0331

12.5843

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.0257, compared to 13.6861 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6603 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.0257

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.6861

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 1.2836 DJF (High: 14.6394 / Low: 13.3558). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3860 DJF (High: 13.3046 / Low: 12.9186).

December Spread (Volatile) ±1.2836

April Spread (Stable) ±0.3860

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 10 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0823 points.

Longest Streak 10 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0823

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2015: 13.9124) against the same month in 2014 (average: 12.7548), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1575 (+9.08%).

2015 Avg (December) 13.9124

2014 Avg (December) 12.7548

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.5773	12.5275	12.7873
February	12.9441	12.5248	12.7051
March	13.2642	12.6412	12.9702
April	13.3046	12.9186	13.0825
May	13.4549	13.0279	13.2144
June	13.7081	13.2179	13.3948
July	13.8791	13.1770	13.5333
August	13.8998	13.3207	13.5813
September	13.9324	13.1574	13.6088
October	13.9659	13.1688	13.6390
November	14.2015	13.3341	13.8417
December	14.6394	13.3558	13.9124