2016 SCR to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

14.0698 DJF

YEARLY LOW

12.3791 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

13.3937 DJF

2016 SCR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 28, valuing the pair at 14.0698. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 12.3791.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6906 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.5875 to the December average rate of 13.3308, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 14.0698 was down 3.89% compared to the 2015 peak of 14.6394, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 70,349 DJF

2015 Average 66,799 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 61,896 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,453.18 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

13.6233

13.1935

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.3952, compared to 13.3922 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0029 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.3952

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.3922

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 1.4687 DJF (High: 13.8478 / Low: 12.3791). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2949 DJF (High: 13.5445 / Low: 13.2497).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.4687

September Spread (Stable) ±0.2949

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3147 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3147

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 13.5789) against the same month in 2015 (average: 13.3948), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1841 (+1.37%).

2016 Avg (June) 13.5789

2015 Avg (June) 13.3948

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.8413	12.9679	13.5875
February	13.8478	12.3791	13.2729
March	13.7162	13.1008	13.3711
April	13.9045	12.6004	13.2293
May	13.6342	12.8489	13.3313
June	14.0698	13.2810	13.5789
July	13.8900	13.1671	13.4774
August	13.5747	13.1761	13.4017
September	13.5445	13.2497	13.3901
October	13.6072	13.2313	13.4112
November	13.5499	13.1572	13.3423
December	13.5637	13.1603	13.3308