YEARLY HIGH
14.9913 DJF
YEARLY LOW
12.5078 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
14.0797 DJF

2014 SCR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SCR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 29, valuing the pair at 14.9913. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 8, dropping to 12.5078.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4835 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.7490 to the December average rate of 12.7548, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.52% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 14.9913 was down 2.07% compared to the 2013 peak of 15.3083, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 74,956 DJF
2013 Average 73,526 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 62,539 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,417.53 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

15.0072
12.3652
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.6844, compared to 13.4750 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.2094 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.6844
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.4750

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 1.0595 DJF (High: 13.6032 / Low: 12.5438). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1580 DJF (High: 14.6063 / Low: 14.4483).

October Spread (Volatile) ±1.0595
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1580

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.5686 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5686

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2014: 14.7870) against the same month in 2013 (average: 15.1291), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3421 (-2.26%).

2014 Avg (April) 14.7870
2013 Avg (April) 15.1291

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.8575 14.6204 14.7490
February 14.8059 14.5219 14.6752
March 14.8697 14.5553 14.6684
April 14.9913 14.5120 14.7870
May 14.9772 14.2164 14.6571
June 14.7681 14.4229 14.5696
July 14.6063 14.4483 14.5258
August 14.5793 13.7425 14.2234
September 13.7902 13.4786 13.6548
October 13.6032 12.5438 13.1058
November 12.6711 12.5078 12.5854
December 13.4007 12.5457 12.7548