2017 SCR to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.8300 DJF

YEARLY LOW

12.6280 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

13.1673 DJF

2017 SCR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the SCR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 22, valuing the pair at 13.8300. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 15, dropping to 12.6280.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2021 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.3606 to the December average rate of 12.8351, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 13.8300 was down 1.70% compared to the 2016 peak of 14.0698, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 69,150 DJF

2016 Average 66,972 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 63,140 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,010.28 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

13.4131

12.7825

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.2835, compared to 13.0510 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2325 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.2835

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.0510

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was November, with a trading range of 0.9151 DJF (High: 13.5431 / Low: 12.6280). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3388 DJF (High: 13.3864 / Low: 13.0477).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.9151

May Spread (Stable) ±0.3388

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2017. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1124 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1124

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2017: 13.3606) against the same month in 2016 (average: 13.5875), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2269 (-1.67%).

2017 Avg (January) 13.3606

2016 Avg (January) 13.5875

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.8300	13.1474	13.3606
February	13.5840	13.0895	13.3037
March	13.7840	13.1049	13.2888
April	13.7073	13.0699	13.2670
May	13.3864	13.0477	13.2066
June	13.5900	12.8475	13.2747
July	13.6048	12.9823	13.2033
August	13.5570	12.9464	13.1508
September	13.3500	12.9926	13.1161
October	13.3641	12.7139	13.0566
November	13.5431	12.6280	12.9442
December	13.3358	12.7060	12.8351