2018 SCR to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.4469 DJF

YEARLY LOW

12.4055 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

13.0608 DJF

2018 SCR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 5, valuing the pair at 13.4469. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 27, dropping to 12.4055.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0414 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.8460 to the December average rate of 13.0190, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.35% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 13.4469 was down 2.77% compared to the 2017 peak of 13.8300, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 67,235 DJF

2017 Average 65,832 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 62,027 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,207.18 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

13.2091

12.8130

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.0570, compared to 13.0645 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0075 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.0570

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.0645

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.7214 DJF (High: 13.4469 / Low: 12.7255). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0274 DJF (High: 13.1101 / Low: 13.0827).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.7214

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0274

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0651 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0651

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 13.0444) against the same month in 2017 (average: 13.3037), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2594 (-1.95%).

2018 Avg (February) 13.0444

2017 Avg (February) 13.3037

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.1059	12.6135	12.8460
February	13.4469	12.7255	13.0444
March	13.1668	12.5545	12.9792
April	13.1674	12.8640	13.1283
May	13.2483	12.6741	13.1682
June	13.2391	13.1307	13.1761
July	13.1563	13.0812	13.1372
August	13.1101	13.0827	13.0999
September	13.1243	12.4055	13.0464
October	13.0865	12.8182	13.0444
November	13.0559	13.0118	13.0400
December	13.0589	12.7723	13.0190