YEARLY HIGH
14.1629 DJF
YEARLY LOW
8.3825 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.5973 DJF

2020 SCR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the SCR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 16, valuing the pair at 14.1629. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 5, dropping to 8.3825.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.7804 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.0316 to the December average rate of 8.3996, the exchange rate registered a net change of -35.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 14.1629 was down 1.29% compared to the 2019 peak of 14.3480, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 70,814 DJF
2019 Average 65,054 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 41,912 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 28,902.02 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

13.4948
7.9364
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.7371, compared to 9.4574 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.2798 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.7371
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.4574

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was April, with a trading range of 2.7838 DJF (High: 12.9400 / Low: 10.1562). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0779 DJF (High: 9.9746 / Low: 9.8968).

April Spread (Volatile) ±2.7838
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0779

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 2.0702 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.0702

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 13.0305) against the same month in 2019 (average: 13.0000), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0305 (+0.23%).

2020 Avg (March) 13.0305
2019 Avg (March) 13.0000

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 13.8744 12.9425 13.0316
February 13.4008 12.9106 13.0294
March 14.1629 12.6262 13.0305
April 12.9400 10.1562 10.9604
May 11.0662 9.8410 10.2392
June 10.5935 10.0156 10.1318
July 10.1213 9.9378 10.0819
August 10.0138 9.6204 9.9645
September 9.9746 9.8968 9.9175
October 9.9038 9.2135 9.6353
November 9.2136 8.5547 8.7454
December 8.5567 8.3825 8.3996