YEARLY HIGH
14.3480 DJF
YEARLY LOW
10.8465 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
13.0108 DJF

2019 SCR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SCR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 11, valuing the pair at 14.3480. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 10.8465.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.5015 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.9708 to the December average rate of 12.9937, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.18% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 14.3480 was up 6.70% compared to the 2018 peak of 13.4469, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 71,740 DJF
2018 Average 65,302 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 54,232 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,507.66 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

13.1226
12.9570
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.0037, compared to 13.0180 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0143 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.0037
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.0180

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 2.2105 DJF (High: 13.0570 / Low: 10.8465). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0183 DJF (High: 13.0071 / Low: 12.9888).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.2105
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0183

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1108 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1108

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 13.1088) against the same month in 2018 (average: 13.0999), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0088 (+0.07%).

2019 Avg (August) 13.1088
2018 Avg (August) 13.0999

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 13.0570 10.8465 12.9708
February 13.0447 12.8985 13.0153
March 13.0358 12.8882 13.0000
April 13.0362 12.8172 12.9951
May 13.0709 12.9835 13.0183
June 13.0645 12.9592 13.0225
July 13.0503 12.7338 13.0195
August 14.3480 12.7638 13.1088
September 13.0826 12.9461 12.9980
October 13.0107 12.9504 12.9830
November 13.7432 12.6488 13.0047
December 13.0071 12.9888 12.9937