2011 UGX to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3991 CDF

YEARLY LOW

0.3152 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3629 CDF

2011 UGX to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 28, valuing the pair at 0.3991. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 0.3152.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0839 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3893 to the December average rate of 0.3692, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.3991 was down 15.23% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.4708, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,996 CDF

2010 Average 2,061 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 1,576 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 419.74 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.3964

0.3189

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3828, compared to 0.3430 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0398 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3828

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3430

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 0.0429 CDF (High: 0.3829 / Low: 0.3400). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0049 CDF (High: 0.3841 / Low: 0.3792).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0429

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0049

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0214 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0214

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.3893) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.4619), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0726 (-15.72%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.3893

2010 Avg (January) 0.4619

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3991	0.3793	0.3893
February	0.3954	0.3838	0.3899
March	0.3864	0.3770	0.3808
April	0.3917	0.3804	0.3842
May	0.3841	0.3792	0.3821
June	0.3829	0.3400	0.3704
July	0.3582	0.3472	0.3523
August	0.3486	0.3237	0.3309
September	0.3301	0.3176	0.3253
October	0.3544	0.3152	0.3274
November	0.3635	0.3471	0.3529
December	0.3829	0.3548	0.3692