2013 UGX to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3710 CDF

YEARLY LOW

0.3378 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3568 CDF

2013 UGX to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the UGX to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 0.3710. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 8, dropping to 0.3378.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0332 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3435 to the December average rate of 0.3674, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.96% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.3710 was down 7.51% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.4011, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,855 CDF

2012 Average 1,838 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 1,689 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 165.77 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.3698

0.3411

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3515, compared to 0.3620 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0104 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3515

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3620

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was April, with a trading range of 0.0114 CDF (High: 0.3641 / Low: 0.3527). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0026 CDF (High: 0.3564 / Low: 0.3538).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0114

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0026

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0012 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0012

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2013: 0.3674) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.3462), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0212 (+6.12%).

2013 Avg (December) 0.3674

2012 Avg (December) 0.3462

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3469	0.3378	0.3435
February	0.3486	0.3422	0.3458
March	0.3560	0.3453	0.3513
April	0.3641	0.3527	0.3573
May	0.3595	0.3523	0.3561
June	0.3564	0.3538	0.3552
July	0.3584	0.3525	0.3560
August	0.3589	0.3552	0.3570
September	0.3640	0.3563	0.3602
October	0.3676	0.3613	0.3649
November	0.3695	0.3640	0.3663
December	0.3710	0.3642	0.3674