YEARLY HIGH
0.8267 CDF
YEARLY LOW
0.5825 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7565 CDF

2025 UGX to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the UGX to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 4, valuing the pair at 0.8267. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 13, dropping to 0.5825.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2442 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7736 to the December average rate of 0.6317, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 0.8267 was up 4.97% compared to the 2024 peak of 0.7875, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,133 CDF
2024 Average 3,750 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 2,912 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,220.97 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

0.8317
0.6030
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7863, compared to 0.7266 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0597 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7863
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7266

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was October, with a trading range of 0.1380 CDF (High: 0.7559 / Low: 0.6179). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0083 CDF (High: 0.7861 / Low: 0.7779).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.1380
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0083

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1334 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1334

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2025: 0.8091) against the same month in 2024 (average: 0.7675), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0416 (+5.42%).

2025 Avg (September) 0.8091
2024 Avg (September) 0.7675

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.7783 0.7684 0.7736
February 0.7816 0.7700 0.7782
March 0.7861 0.7779 0.7819
April 0.7975 0.7820 0.7901
May 0.7990 0.7850 0.7928
June 0.8093 0.7956 0.8016
July 0.8138 0.8051 0.8084
August 0.8179 0.8046 0.8126
September 0.8267 0.7534 0.8091
October 0.7559 0.6179 0.6757
November 0.6598 0.5825 0.6221
December 0.6478 0.5979 0.6317