2014 UGX to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3757 CDF

YEARLY LOW

0.3325 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3560 CDF

2014 UGX to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the UGX to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 19, valuing the pair at 0.3757. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 0.3325.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0432 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3696 to the December average rate of 0.3348, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.41% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.3757 was up 1.27% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.3710, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,878 CDF

2013 Average 1,784 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 1,662 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 216.13 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.3775

0.3309

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3659, compared to 0.3460 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0199 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3659

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3460

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 0.0123 CDF (High: 0.3453 / Low: 0.3330). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0040 CDF (High: 0.3365 / Low: 0.3325).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0123

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0040

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0094 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0094

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2014: 0.3737) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.3458), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0278 (+8.04%).

2014 Avg (February) 0.3737

2013 Avg (February) 0.3458

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3741	0.3644	0.3696
February	0.3757	0.3642	0.3737
March	0.3684	0.3596	0.3643
April	0.3681	0.3600	0.3652
May	0.3668	0.3621	0.3645
June	0.3626	0.3517	0.3583
July	0.3558	0.3449	0.3508
August	0.3563	0.3515	0.3537
September	0.3562	0.3487	0.3528
October	0.3497	0.3411	0.3456
November	0.3453	0.3330	0.3387
December	0.3365	0.3325	0.3348