2018 UGX to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4482 CDF

YEARLY LOW

0.4129 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4347 CDF

2018 UGX to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 24, valuing the pair at 0.4482. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 0.4129.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0353 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4399 to the December average rate of 0.4377, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4482 was down 1.92% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.4570, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,241 CDF

2017 Average 2,016 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 2,064 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 176.74 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4447

0.4186

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4360, compared to 0.4334 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0025 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4360

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4334

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0343 CDF (High: 0.4482 / Low: 0.4140). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0035 CDF (High: 0.4378 / Low: 0.4344).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0343

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0035

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0125 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0125

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 0.4315) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4310), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0005 (+0.11%).

2018 Avg (July) 0.4315

2017 Avg (July) 0.4310

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4439	0.4301	0.4399
February	0.4472	0.4396	0.4426
March	0.4456	0.4375	0.4424
April	0.4378	0.4344	0.4369
May	0.4356	0.4277	0.4332
June	0.4283	0.4129	0.4208
July	0.4482	0.4140	0.4315
August	0.4421	0.4309	0.4361
September	0.4363	0.4250	0.4301
October	0.4368	0.4263	0.4309
November	0.4412	0.4295	0.4343
December	0.4435	0.4305	0.4377