2012 UGX to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4011 CDF

YEARLY LOW

0.3437 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3677 CDF

2012 UGX to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the UGX to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 0.4011. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.3437.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0574 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3781 to the December average rate of 0.3462, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.4011 was up 0.50% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.3991, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,005 CDF

2011 Average 1,814 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 1,719 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 286.91 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.3968

0.3416

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3740, compared to 0.3614 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0125 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3740

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3614

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 0.0270 CDF (High: 0.4011 / Low: 0.3741). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0048 CDF (High: 0.3486 / Low: 0.3437).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0270

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0048

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2012. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0229 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0229

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 0.3922) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.3899), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0022 (+0.57%).

2012 Avg (February) 0.3922

2011 Avg (February) 0.3899

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3920	0.3661	0.3781
February	0.4011	0.3741	0.3922
March	0.3776	0.3562	0.3692
April	0.3726	0.3619	0.3660
May	0.3742	0.3634	0.3695
June	0.3758	0.3649	0.3687
July	0.3757	0.3691	0.3725
August	0.3732	0.3663	0.3708
September	0.3709	0.3608	0.3673
October	0.3629	0.3557	0.3582
November	0.3590	0.3455	0.3536
December	0.3486	0.3437	0.3462