2015 UGX to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3341 CDF

YEARLY LOW

0.2507 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2885 CDF

2015 UGX to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the UGX to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 0.3341. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 7, dropping to 0.2507.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0834 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3248 to the December average rate of 0.2758, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.3341 was down 11.08% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.3757, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,670 CDF

2014 Average 1,779 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 1,254 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 416.92 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.3320

0.2459

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3116, compared to 0.2654 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0462 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3116

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2654

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 0.0220 CDF (High: 0.2843 / Low: 0.2623). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0027 CDF (High: 0.2540 / Low: 0.2514).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0220

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0027

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0170 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0170

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 0.3248) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.3696), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0448 (-12.12%).

2015 Avg (January) 0.3248

2014 Avg (January) 0.3696

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3341	0.3194	0.3248
February	0.3252	0.3173	0.3225
March	0.3209	0.3073	0.3144
April	0.3117	0.3076	0.3095
May	0.3102	0.3025	0.3076
June	0.3016	0.2804	0.2906
July	0.2843	0.2623	0.2766
August	0.2693	0.2536	0.2613
September	0.2540	0.2514	0.2531
October	0.2624	0.2507	0.2547
November	0.2765	0.2613	0.2709
December	0.2819	0.2660	0.2758