2016 UGX to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3338 CDF

YEARLY LOW

0.2559 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2830 CDF

2016 UGX to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 0.3338. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 17, dropping to 0.2559.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0779 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2690 to the December average rate of 0.3235, the exchange rate registered a net change of 20.25% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.3338 was down 0.09% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.3341, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,669 CDF

2015 Average 1,441 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 1,280 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 389.36 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.3290

0.2636

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2750, compared to 0.2911 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0161 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2750

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2911

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0602 CDF (High: 0.3161 / Low: 0.2559). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0036 CDF (High: 0.2780 / Low: 0.2744).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0602

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0036

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0056 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0056

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.3235) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.2758), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0478 (+17.32%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.3235

2015 Avg (December) 0.2758

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2736	0.2658	0.2690
February	0.2766	0.2670	0.2708
March	0.2780	0.2744	0.2758
April	0.2807	0.2756	0.2777
May	0.2801	0.2744	0.2775
June	0.2857	0.2716	0.2792
July	0.2900	0.2775	0.2816
August	0.2920	0.2873	0.2896
September	0.2906	0.2866	0.2888
October	0.2901	0.2771	0.2832
November	0.3161	0.2559	0.2797
December	0.3338	0.3126	0.3235