2019 UGX to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4604 CDF

YEARLY LOW

0.4331 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4462 CDF

2019 UGX to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the UGX to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 23, valuing the pair at 0.4604. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 11, dropping to 0.4331.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0273 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4413 to the December average rate of 0.4567, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.4604 was up 2.71% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.4482, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,302 CDF

2018 Average 2,173 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 2,166 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 136.31 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.4587

0.4345

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4412, compared to 0.4512 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0100 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4412

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4512

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 0.0129 CDF (High: 0.4498 / Low: 0.4369). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0034 CDF (High: 0.4511 / Low: 0.4476).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0129

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0034

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0042 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0042

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 0.4567) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.4377), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0190 (+4.34%).

2019 Avg (December) 0.4567

2018 Avg (December) 0.4377

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4469	0.4358	0.4413
February	0.4486	0.4423	0.4459
March	0.4448	0.4389	0.4417
April	0.4417	0.4360	0.4384
May	0.4396	0.4331	0.4366
June	0.4498	0.4369	0.4432
July	0.4518	0.4453	0.4490
August	0.4511	0.4476	0.4490
September	0.4545	0.4505	0.4528
October	0.4523	0.4462	0.4496
November	0.4518	0.4460	0.4501
December	0.4604	0.4505	0.4567