YEARLY HIGH
0.6546 CDF
YEARLY LOW
0.5848 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6193 CDF

2026 UGX to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the UGX to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 19, valuing the pair at 0.6546. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 10, dropping to 0.5848.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0699 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6333 to the December average rate of 0.6110, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.53% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.6546 was down 20.81% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.8267, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,273 CDF
2025 Average 3,782 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 2,924 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 349.26 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.6360
0.6041
JanuFebrMarcApriMayJune

UGX to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6193, compared to 0.0000 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6193 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6193
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0000

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was February, with a trading range of 0.0592 CDF (High: 0.6495 / Low: 0.5903). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0069 CDF (High: 0.6138 / Low: 0.6069).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0592
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0069

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0226 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0226

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 0.6333) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.7736), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1403 (-18.13%).

2026 Avg (January) 0.6333
2025 Avg (January) 0.7736

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6546 0.6063 0.6333
February 0.6495 0.5903 0.6324
March 0.6277 0.5848 0.6097
April 0.6283 0.6144 0.6228
May 0.6208 0.6016 0.6067
June 0.6138 0.6069 0.6110