2011 BGN to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

73.9295 KES

YEARLY LOW

53.6132 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

63.1343 KES

2011 BGN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the BGN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 73.9295. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 53.6132.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 20.3163 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 55.3327 to the December average rate of 58.2366, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.25% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 73.9295 was up 26.72% compared to the 2010 peak of 58.3416, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 369,647 KES

2010 Average 268,491 KES

Yearly Trough Low 268,066 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 101,581.36 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

72.3624

53.7846

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 60.4141, compared to 65.8544 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 5.4403 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 60.4141

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 65.8544

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 7.7961 KES (High: 68.5772 / Low: 60.7811). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.6222 KES (High: 63.6135 / Low: 61.9913).

November Spread (Volatile) ±7.7961

May Spread (Stable) ±1.6222

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 6.3263 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -6.3263

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 70.8143) against the same month in 2010 (average: 57.3146), the exchange rate shifted by +13.4996 (+23.55%).

2011 Avg (October) 70.8143

2010 Avg (October) 57.3146

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	56.8556	53.6132	55.3327
February	58.2688	55.8439	56.8724
March	61.6826	58.4706	60.3245
April	63.3468	60.2085	61.9388
May	63.6135	61.9913	62.6053
June	67.2471	63.2679	65.4112
July	66.9379	64.3272	65.6327
August	69.4441	66.1140	68.0601
September	71.3993	65.9461	67.8197
October	73.9295	68.8754	70.8143
November	68.5772	60.7811	64.5629
December	62.0202	55.6127	58.2366