2014 BGN to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

61.9120 KES

YEARLY LOW

56.2002 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

59.6726 KES

2014 BGN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BGN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 6, valuing the pair at 61.9120. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 56.2002.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.7118 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 60.0370 to the December average rate of 56.9317, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.17% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 61.9120 was up 1.46% compared to the 2013 peak of 61.0195, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 309,560 KES

2013 Average 292,230 KES

Yearly Trough Low 281,001 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 28,558.87 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

61.7873

56.4903

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 60.7979, compared to 58.5473 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.2506 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 60.7979

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 58.5473

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 1.9561 KES (High: 59.5739 / Low: 57.6178). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5109 KES (High: 61.2261 / Low: 60.7152).

September Spread (Volatile) ±1.9561

June Spread (Stable) ±0.5109

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 1.4563 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4563

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 61.3459) against the same month in 2013 (average: 55.7665), the exchange rate shifted by +5.5794 (+10.00%).

2014 Avg (May) 61.3459

2013 Avg (May) 55.7665

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	60.7819	59.3722	60.0370
February	60.8152	59.5480	60.1820
March	61.5862	60.7145	61.1195
April	61.5865	60.6736	61.2236
May	61.9120	61.0344	61.3459
June	61.2261	60.7152	60.8791
July	61.3553	60.0653	60.7379
August	60.2880	59.4385	59.9828
September	59.5739	57.6178	58.5265
October	58.2871	57.2472	57.7734
November	57.7328	57.0186	57.3314
December	57.8674	56.2002	56.9317