YEARLY HIGH
61.4840 KES
YEARLY LOW
49.2420 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
55.7309 KES

2015 BGN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the BGN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 17, valuing the pair at 61.4840. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 15, dropping to 49.2420.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.2419 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 54.3329 to the December average rate of 56.9492, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 61.4840 was down 0.69% compared to the 2014 peak of 61.9120, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 307,420 KES
2014 Average 298,352 KES
Yearly Trough Low 246,210 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 61,209.74 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

61.5282
49.8089
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 53.4817, compared to 57.9800 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 4.4983 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 53.4817
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 57.9800

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was August, with a trading range of 4.8208 KES (High: 61.2045 / Low: 56.3838). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.2744 KES (High: 53.5995 / Low: 52.3251).

August Spread (Volatile) ±4.8208
February Spread (Stable) ±1.2744

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 2.8936 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.8936

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 60.5516) against the same month in 2014 (average: 58.5265), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0251 (+3.46%).

2015 Avg (September) 60.5516
2014 Avg (September) 58.5265

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 56.1084 52.4479 54.3329
February 53.5995 52.3251 53.0893
March 52.2819 49.2420 50.7855
April 54.0603 50.3869 51.6029
May 56.1561 54.1102 54.9786
June 57.1849 54.6420 56.1013
July 58.0694 56.2163 56.9947
August 61.2045 56.3838 58.3799
September 61.4840 59.7330 60.5516
October 60.4034 56.8432 58.9492
November 57.4815 55.2315 56.0556
December 57.4219 55.4099 56.9492