2018 BGN to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

65.1704 KES

YEARLY LOW

58.4422 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

61.1806 KES

2018 BGN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 65.1704. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 58.4422.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.7282 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 64.1691 to the December average rate of 59.4386, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 65.1704 was up 2.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 63.4756, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 325,852 KES

2017 Average 298,764 KES

Yearly Trough Low 292,211 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 33,640.78 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

64.6493

58.8866

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 62.7148, compared to 59.6464 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.0684 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 62.7148

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 59.6464

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 2.0983 KES (High: 65.1704 / Low: 63.0721). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6708 KES (High: 59.7483 / Low: 59.0775).

February Spread (Volatile) ±2.0983

December Spread (Stable) ±0.6708

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 2.2771 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.2771

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 64.0385) against the same month in 2017 (average: 56.3830), the exchange rate shifted by +7.6555 (+13.58%).

2018 Avg (February) 64.0385

2017 Avg (February) 56.3830

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	65.0599	63.0389	64.1691
February	65.1704	63.0721	64.0385
March	64.3336	63.3973	63.7774
April	63.8339	61.9450	63.1356
May	61.6744	59.8729	60.8585
June	61.0538	59.7946	60.3095
July	60.6001	59.8025	60.1623
August	60.3302	58.4422	59.3936
September	60.7468	59.4947	60.0732
October	59.8321	58.8834	59.3668
November	60.2232	58.8071	59.4437
December	59.7483	59.0775	59.4386