YEARLY HIGH
88.9150 KES
YEARLY LOW
66.5010 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
77.3510 KES

2023 BGN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the BGN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 88.9150. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 66.5010.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 22.4141 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 68.3449 to the December average rate of 86.2449, the exchange rate registered a net change of 26.19% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 88.9150 was up 31.55% compared to the 2022 peak of 67.5914, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 444,575 KES
2022 Average 317,396 KES
Yearly Trough Low 332,505 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 112,070.48 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

88.0349
66.5549
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 72.8426, compared to 81.8594 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 9.0168 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 72.8426
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 81.8594

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was December, with a trading range of 4.5706 KES (High: 88.9150 / Low: 84.3444). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3100 KES (High: 69.5795 / Low: 68.2694).

December Spread (Volatile) ±4.5706
February Spread (Stable) ±1.3100

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0578 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0578

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2023: 86.2449) against the same month in 2022 (average: 66.5719), the exchange rate shifted by +19.6730 (+29.55%).

2023 Avg (December) 86.2449
2022 Avg (December) 66.5719

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 69.2936 66.5010 68.3449
February 69.5795 68.2694 68.7238
March 73.7404 69.1709 70.9671
April 76.8723 73.7404 75.3958
May 76.8130 75.4904 76.2347
June 78.6789 75.3196 77.3893
July 81.5746 77.1636 79.9529
August 81.2436 78.8322 80.1756
September 80.5979 79.2656 80.1178
October 81.8130 79.4039 80.6271
November 85.8680 81.3403 84.0381
December 88.9150 84.3444 86.2449