YEARLY HIGH
60.1277 KES
YEARLY LOW
57.0272 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
58.3712 KES

2019 BGN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 60.1277. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 22, dropping to 57.0272.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.1005 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 59.2931 to the December average rate of 57.6259, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.81% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 60.1277 was down 7.74% compared to the 2018 peak of 65.1704, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 300,638 KES
2018 Average 305,809 KES
Yearly Trough Low 285,136 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,502.68 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

59.4598
57.4591
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 58.3385, compared to 58.4040 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0655 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 58.3385
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 58.4040

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was March, with a trading range of 1.7875 KES (High: 58.9946 / Low: 57.2072). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6446 KES (High: 58.1966 / Low: 57.5520).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.7875
May Spread (Stable) ±0.6446

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.1337 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1337

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 59.2931) against the same month in 2018 (average: 64.1691), the exchange rate shifted by -4.8760 (-7.60%).

2019 Avg (January) 59.2931
2018 Avg (January) 64.1691

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 60.1277 58.4326 59.2931
February 58.8122 57.7305 58.1594
March 58.9946 57.2072 57.9824
April 58.5309 57.6983 58.0230
May 58.1966 57.5520 57.8856
June 59.5193 57.8616 58.6876
July 59.5130 58.8232 59.1752
August 59.3046 58.1242 58.7480
September 58.7443 57.8678 58.4200
October 59.2154 57.9573 58.6197
November 58.9756 57.2515 57.8352
December 58.2256 57.0272 57.6259