2016 BGN to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

59.4965 KES

YEARLY LOW

54.3547 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

57.4461 KES

2016 BGN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 59.4965. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 54.3547.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.1418 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 56.8595 to the December average rate of 55.0508, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.18% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 59.4965 was down 3.23% compared to the 2015 peak of 61.4840, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 297,482 KES

2015 Average 278,744 KES

Yearly Trough Low 271,774 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 25,708.83 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

59.0590

54.6864

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 57.9244, compared to 56.9678 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9567 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 57.9244

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 56.9678

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 2.8652 KES (High: 57.8977 / Low: 55.0325). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5805 KES (High: 58.3619 / Low: 57.7814).

November Spread (Volatile) ±2.8652

September Spread (Stable) ±0.5805

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.0951 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0951

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 58.1957) against the same month in 2015 (average: 54.9786), the exchange rate shifted by +3.2171 (+5.85%).

2016 Avg (May) 58.1957

2015 Avg (May) 54.9786

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	57.1317	56.3480	56.8595
February	58.9627	56.7879	57.8885
March	58.9470	56.4118	57.7677
April	59.1778	58.1154	58.6946
May	59.4965	57.2669	58.1957
June	58.8673	57.1062	58.1404
July	57.8024	56.9007	57.3388
August	58.6987	57.5008	58.0937
September	58.3619	57.7814	58.0160
October	58.1025	56.3914	57.1613
November	57.8977	55.0325	56.1459
December	55.9460	54.3547	55.0508