2013 BGN to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

61.0195 KES

YEARLY LOW

55.0230 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

58.4531 KES

2013 BGN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the BGN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 10, valuing the pair at 61.0195. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 17, dropping to 55.0230.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.9965 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 59.0515 to the December average rate of 60.4099, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.30% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 61.0195 was up 4.68% compared to the 2012 peak of 58.2927, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 305,097 KES

2012 Average 277,463 KES

Yearly Trough Low 275,115 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 29,982.25 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

60.8742

55.3022

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 57.4975, compared to 59.4087 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.9111 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 57.4975

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 59.4087

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was February, with a trading range of 3.2739 KES (High: 61.0017 / Low: 57.7278). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8058 KES (High: 59.8575 / Low: 59.0518).

February Spread (Volatile) ±3.2739

August Spread (Stable) ±0.8058

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 2.8862 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.8862

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2013: 60.4099) against the same month in 2012 (average: 57.6389), the exchange rate shifted by +2.7710 (+4.81%).

2013 Avg (December) 60.4099

2012 Avg (December) 57.6389

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	60.7014	57.7745	59.0515
February	61.0017	57.7278	59.7006
March	57.5997	55.9476	56.8144
April	56.5254	55.7093	56.0612
May	56.5354	55.0230	55.7665
June	58.5250	56.5418	57.5909
July	59.3573	56.7380	58.0727
August	59.8575	59.0518	59.5234
September	60.4118	58.7412	59.6338
October	60.1593	58.7245	59.4142
November	60.4731	58.4765	59.3980
December	61.0195	59.9318	60.4099