2012 BGN to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

58.2927 KES

YEARLY LOW

52.1248 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

55.4954 KES

2012 BGN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the BGN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 19, valuing the pair at 58.2927. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 24, dropping to 52.1248.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.1679 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 56.7433 to the December average rate of 57.6389, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.58% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 58.2927 was down 21.15% compared to the 2011 peak of 73.9295, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 291,464 KES

2011 Average 315,830 KES

Yearly Trough Low 260,624 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 30,839.56 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

58.1139

52.4134

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 55.6604, compared to 55.3304 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3300 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 55.6604

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 55.3304

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was September, with a trading range of 2.6250 KES (High: 56.7140 / Low: 54.0890). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0545 KES (High: 57.0551 / Low: 56.0005).

September Spread (Volatile) ±2.6250

October Spread (Stable) ±1.0545

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.2973 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2973

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 57.6389) against the same month in 2011 (average: 58.2366), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5978 (-1.03%).

2012 Avg (December) 57.6389

2011 Avg (December) 58.2366

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	57.3855	56.1380	56.7433
February	56.8688	55.0293	56.0941
March	56.5966	54.7525	55.8910
April	56.6106	55.4267	55.8854
May	56.0922	54.5882	55.1628
June	54.7702	53.4196	54.1857
July	54.3046	52.1248	52.8884
August	54.2549	52.7317	53.2450
September	56.7140	54.0890	55.6162
October	57.0551	56.0005	56.4653
November	57.0370	55.4557	56.1286
December	58.2927	56.8289	57.6389