2011 CVE to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

37.0522 UGX

YEARLY LOW

27.3946 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

31.8576 UGX

2011 CVE to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the CVE to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 29, valuing the pair at 37.0522. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 27.3946.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.6576 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 28.2329 to the December average rate of 29.2845, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.73% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 37.0522 was up 25.39% compared to the 2010 peak of 29.5507, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 185,261 UGX

2010 Average 130,957 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 136,973 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 48,287.82 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

36.5786

27.4742

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 30.3205, compared to 33.3946 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.0741 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 30.3205

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 33.3946

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 3.8899 UGX (High: 35.0142 / Low: 31.1244). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0472 UGX (High: 29.5981 / Low: 28.5509).

June Spread (Volatile) ±3.8899

February Spread (Stable) ±1.0472

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 3.1262 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.1262

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 35.8199) against the same month in 2010 (average: 26.0642), the exchange rate shifted by +9.7557 (+37.43%).

2011 Avg (August) 35.8199

2010 Avg (August) 26.0642

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	29.0127	27.3946	28.2329
February	29.5981	28.5509	29.0498
March	31.0443	29.6627	30.4388
April	32.0847	30.5788	31.0936
May	32.1902	30.3263	31.1186
June	35.0142	31.1244	31.9896
July	34.1285	32.7837	33.5245
August	37.0522	34.0056	35.8199
September	36.5021	34.3899	35.1913
October	36.0199	32.7894	34.8369
November	32.9141	30.5603	31.7107
December	31.2013	27.8696	29.2845