2012 CVE to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

32.2758 UGX

YEARLY LOW

26.9778 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

29.1535 UGX

2012 CVE to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the CVE to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 32.2758. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 23, dropping to 26.9778.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.2980 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 28.1922 to the December average rate of 31.7301, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.55% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 32.2758 was down 12.89% compared to the 2011 peak of 37.0522, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 161,379 UGX

2011 Average 159,368 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 134,889 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 26,490.23 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

32.1556

27.0497

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 28.7779, compared to 29.5292 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7514 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 28.7779

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 29.5292

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 2.2137 UGX (High: 29.6876 / Low: 27.4739). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7400 UGX (High: 28.5809 / Low: 27.8409).

February Spread (Volatile) ±2.2137

June Spread (Stable) ±0.7400

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 1.0547 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0547

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 31.7301) against the same month in 2011 (average: 29.2845), the exchange rate shifted by +2.4456 (+8.35%).

2012 Avg (December) 31.7301

2011 Avg (December) 29.2845

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	29.0710	27.6739	28.1922
February	29.6876	27.4739	27.9536
March	30.6623	29.1216	29.6896
April	30.2151	29.3856	29.8379
May	30.1316	28.0079	28.7833
June	28.5809	27.8409	28.2105
July	28.2307	26.9778	27.4752
August	28.5582	27.4550	27.8850
September	30.1636	28.4844	29.3449
October	30.5727	29.8078	30.3201
November	31.6290	29.8775	30.4200
December	32.2758	31.4975	31.7301