YEARLY HIGH
37.9723 UGX
YEARLY LOW
35.3657 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
36.4780 UGX

2023 CVE to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the CVE to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 37.9723. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 19, dropping to 35.3657.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.6066 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 36.0246 to the December average rate of 37.3828, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.77% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 37.9723 was up 2.50% compared to the 2022 peak of 37.0461, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 189,861 UGX
2022 Average 175,673 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 176,828 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,032.88 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

37.5438
35.6126
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 36.3660, compared to 36.5900 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2239 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 36.3660
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 36.5900

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was March, with a trading range of 1.9122 UGX (High: 37.3247 / Low: 35.4125). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7258 UGX (High: 37.6102 / Low: 36.8843).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.9122
April Spread (Stable) ±0.7258

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.5111 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5111

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2023: 37.3828) against the same month in 2022 (average: 35.3352), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0477 (+5.79%).

2023 Avg (December) 37.3828
2022 Avg (December) 35.3352

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 36.3572 35.4216 36.0246
February 36.5149 35.3657 35.7735
March 37.3247 35.4125 36.2612
April 37.6102 36.8843 37.1703
May 37.1729 36.0890 36.6592
June 36.6658 35.5125 36.3074
July 37.4210 36.0122 36.6770
August 37.1925 35.7505 36.4026
September 36.5849 35.8525 36.2042
October 36.2070 35.4744 35.9184
November 37.7920 36.0168 36.9547
December 37.9723 36.5502 37.3828