2018 CVE to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

41.2900 UGX

YEARLY LOW

37.6331 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

39.7933 UGX

2018 CVE to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CVE to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 11, valuing the pair at 41.2900. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 37.6331.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.6569 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 40.0905 to the December average rate of 38.2242, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 41.2900 was up 4.73% compared to the 2017 peak of 39.4268, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 206,450 UGX

2017 Average 184,749 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 188,165 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,284.58 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

41.2568

37.9485

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 40.4708, compared to 39.1158 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.3551 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 40.4708

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 39.1158

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 1.9643 UGX (High: 40.9268 / Low: 38.9625). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7144 UGX (High: 41.2900 / Low: 40.5755).

July Spread (Volatile) ±1.9643

April Spread (Stable) ±0.7144

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 1.0745 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0745

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 40.9811) against the same month in 2017 (average: 35.1528), the exchange rate shifted by +5.8283 (+16.58%).

2018 Avg (April) 40.9811

2017 Avg (April) 35.1528

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	41.0608	39.2836	40.0905
February	40.9877	40.1640	40.6021
March	41.2600	40.1596	40.7369
April	41.2900	40.5755	40.9811
May	40.5125	39.5118	39.9066
June	41.2045	39.8568	40.5079
July	40.9268	38.9625	39.7154
August	39.8278	38.3053	38.9501
September	40.7108	39.4932	40.1044
October	40.0697	38.4436	39.2401
November	38.9189	38.1052	38.4602
December	38.5077	37.6331	38.2242