2019 CVE to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

38.7808 UGX

YEARLY LOW

36.3340 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

37.5031 UGX

2019 CVE to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the CVE to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 38.7808. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 36.3340.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4468 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 38.2620 to the December average rate of 36.8439, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 38.7808 was down 6.08% compared to the 2018 peak of 41.2900, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 193,904 UGX

2018 Average 198,921 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 181,670 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,233.79 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

38.4248

36.4710

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.9943, compared to 37.0119 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9824 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.9943

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 37.0119

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 1.2505 UGX (High: 37.5845 / Low: 36.3340). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4592 UGX (High: 36.7961 / Low: 36.3369).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.2505

September Spread (Stable) ±0.4592

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.5517 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5517

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 38.2620) against the same month in 2018 (average: 40.0905), the exchange rate shifted by -1.8286 (-4.56%).

2019 Avg (January) 38.2620

2018 Avg (January) 40.0905

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	38.7808	37.7261	38.2620
February	38.1012	37.4007	37.7213
March	38.1014	37.5520	37.8774
April	38.2758	37.6546	37.9622
May	38.3526	37.8126	38.0871
June	38.4741	37.5890	38.0559
July	38.1520	37.1479	37.5631
August	37.5845	36.3340	37.1856
September	36.7961	36.3369	36.6338
October	37.4191	36.3539	36.9432
November	37.2779	36.5515	36.9016
December	37.1492	36.5515	36.8439