2017 CVE to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

39.4268 UGX

YEARLY LOW

34.0281 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

36.9336 UGX

2017 CVE to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the CVE to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 29, valuing the pair at 39.4268. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 22, dropping to 34.0281.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.3986 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 34.7924 to the December average rate of 38.8211, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.58% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 39.4268 was up 11.42% compared to the 2016 peak of 35.3865, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 197,134 UGX

2016 Average 171,453 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 170,141 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 26,993.05 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

39.3374

34.0776

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 35.3269, compared to 38.5403 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.2134 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 35.3269

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 38.5403

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was July, with a trading range of 1.9806 UGX (High: 38.7573 / Low: 36.7768). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8774 UGX (High: 39.0714 / Low: 38.1940).

July Spread (Volatile) ±1.9806

October Spread (Stable) ±0.8774

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2764 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2764

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2017: 38.6231) against the same month in 2016 (average: 34.2803), the exchange rate shifted by +4.3428 (+12.67%).

2017 Avg (August) 38.6231

2016 Avg (August) 34.2803

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	35.1201	34.0899	34.7924
February	35.3347	34.0281	34.5159
March	35.5817	34.0943	34.8675
April	36.1183	34.7507	35.1528
May	36.8305	35.6627	36.2052
June	37.0959	36.1614	36.4278
July	38.7573	36.7768	37.6186
August	39.4268	38.2152	38.6231
September	39.4103	38.3479	38.8990
October	39.0714	38.1940	38.7056
November	39.1663	38.0682	38.5745
December	39.4266	38.2184	38.8211