2016 CVE to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

35.3865 UGX

YEARLY LOW

32.9212 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

34.2935 UGX

2016 CVE to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CVE to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 11, valuing the pair at 35.3865. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 2, dropping to 32.9212.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4653 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 33.9507 to the December average rate of 34.4182, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.38% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 35.3865 was down 7.39% compared to the 2015 peak of 38.2099, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 176,932 UGX

2015 Average 163,098 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 164,606 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,326.35 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

34.9491

33.7914

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 34.2203, compared to 34.3667 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1464 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 34.2203

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 34.3667

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 2.0685 UGX (High: 35.3865 / Low: 33.3180). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3516 UGX (High: 34.5194 / Low: 34.1678).

February Spread (Volatile) ±2.0685

September Spread (Stable) ±0.3516

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.6058 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6058

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 34.4937) against the same month in 2015 (average: 29.6007), the exchange rate shifted by +4.8930 (+16.53%).

2016 Avg (February) 34.4937

2015 Avg (February) 29.6007

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	34.4547	33.0818	33.9507
February	35.3865	33.3180	34.4937
March	34.6086	32.9212	33.8879
April	34.7048	33.7041	34.3523
May	34.7433	34.0117	34.3575
June	34.6253	33.9533	34.2795
July	34.3445	33.6081	33.9388
August	34.6086	33.8969	34.2803
September	34.5194	34.1678	34.3735
October	34.5323	33.9706	34.3365
November	35.2332	34.5651	34.8526
December	35.3415	33.4446	34.4182