2015 CVE to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

38.2099 UGX

YEARLY LOW

27.8921 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

32.6006 UGX

2015 CVE to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the CVE to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 14, valuing the pair at 38.2099. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 15, dropping to 27.8921.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.3177 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 30.1464 to the December average rate of 33.2378, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.25% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 38.2099 was up 15.46% compared to the 2014 peak of 33.0926, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 191,049 UGX

2014 Average 157,006 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 139,461 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 51,588.63 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

38.1753

28.1529

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 30.1737, compared to 35.0276 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 4.8538 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 30.1737

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 35.0276

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was August, with a trading range of 4.0395 UGX (High: 38.1685 / Low: 34.1291). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5190 UGX (High: 29.8208 / Low: 29.3018).

August Spread (Volatile) ±4.0395

February Spread (Stable) ±0.5190

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 3.7337 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.7337

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 37.0495) against the same month in 2014 (average: 30.8764), the exchange rate shifted by +6.1731 (+19.99%).

2015 Avg (October) 37.0495

2014 Avg (October) 30.8764

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	30.8836	29.0701	30.1464
February	29.8208	29.3018	29.6007
March	29.5329	27.8921	28.9881
April	30.2874	28.7575	29.3963
May	31.1134	29.9035	30.5029
June	33.8654	30.4537	32.4079
July	35.4645	32.5619	33.4188
August	38.1685	34.1291	35.8035
September	37.8776	36.9638	37.3401
October	38.2099	35.0330	37.0495
November	35.5183	32.1436	33.3158
December	34.3810	32.0912	33.2378