YEARLY HIGH
38.8249 UGX
YEARLY LOW
34.4168 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
36.8370 UGX

2024 CVE to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the CVE to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 38.8249. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 34.4168.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.4081 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 37.6121 to the December average rate of 34.8152, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 38.8249 was up 2.25% compared to the 2023 peak of 37.9723, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 194,124 UGX
2023 Average 182,409 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 172,084 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 22,040.42 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

38.7013
34.4619
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.4442, compared to 36.2299 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.2144 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.4442
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 36.2299

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was February, with a trading range of 1.6304 UGX (High: 38.8249 / Low: 37.1945). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4387 UGX (High: 37.6010 / Low: 37.1623).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.6304
September Spread (Stable) ±0.4387

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.1624 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1624

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2024: 37.8615) against the same month in 2023 (average: 35.7735), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0880 (+5.84%).

2024 Avg (February) 37.8615
2023 Avg (February) 35.7735

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 37.9722 37.3685 37.6121
February 38.8249 37.1945 37.8615
March 38.7760 37.9170 38.3480
April 37.8617 36.6854 37.1857
May 37.6185 36.4994 37.0723
June 37.5504 35.9454 36.5858
July 36.7700 35.9469 36.4295
August 37.5369 36.3089 37.0891
September 37.6010 37.1623 37.3401
October 36.8655 35.8000 36.2453
November 36.3090 34.8755 35.4599
December 35.2999 34.4168 34.8152